TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses how many points will be scored in the third quarter of a college football game between Kansas State and Arizona State. Participants predict whether the combined score will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of difficulty for forecasting the game's intensity in that specific period.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the third quarter of the Kansas St. vs Arizona St. college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 2.5, 5.5, up to 27.5 points); if the actual third-quarter points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. Postponements are permitted if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, with resolution based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during the third quarter count, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s odds are determined by individuals trading based on their own insights. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge as new information becomes available or as public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can reveal where the market believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating the likelihood of certain outcomes in the Kansas State vs Arizona State game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible total scores for the 3rd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. The market’s depth – the number of contracts available at different price points – also indicates the level of confidence traders have in those outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total score of the 3rd quarter of the Kansas State vs Arizona State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract(s) and trigger payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official game results to understand when the market has officially resolved and their positions are settled.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Kansas State or Arizona State would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first and second quarters – such as a dominant offensive showing by one team – could cause traders to reassess their probabilities and adjust their positions accordingly. Unexpected coaching decisions or late-breaking news could also contribute to volatility.