TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 5:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total points scored by both Kansas State and Arizona State during the second quarter of their college football game. Participants predict whether the combined score will exceed specific thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the points accumulated in that quarter, reflecting strategic offensive and defensive performances.
The event determines whether the combined points scored by Kansas State and Arizona State in the second quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the actual points scored in the second quarter surpass the respective threshold. Points from other quarters or overtime periods are excluded from the calculation. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the final official result of that game. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The resolution is strictly based on the official score reported by the governing sports authority.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the probabilities involved and potentially identify advantageous opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 2nd quarter total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the available buy and sell orders at different price points, providing insight into the current supply and demand for each potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 2nd quarter of the Kansas State vs Arizona State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored by both teams during the 2nd quarter will be used to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Kansas State or Arizona State would likely cause movement, as would significant changes in weather forecasts. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, as the game progresses and early scoring plays occur, the market will react dynamically to the unfolding events, reflecting the changing probabilities of different total scores in the 2nd quarter.