TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 5:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of a specific segment of a college football game between Kansas State and Arizona State. It centers exclusively on performance during the second quarter, measuring point differentials to determine results.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between Kansas State and Arizona State exclusively during the second quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold, with varying margins of victory required for resolution. If Kansas State exceeds the designated point margin over Arizona State during that quarter, the corresponding 'Kansas St. wins by over X points' market resolves positively. Conversely, if Arizona State achieves the required margin over Kansas State, the relevant 'Arizona St. wins by over X points' market resolves positively. All markets exclusively consider points scored in the second quarter, disregarding any scoring from other quarters. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original schedule, markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing or circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. You might find that this market incorporates information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or shifts in public perception. However, sportsbook odds remain a valuable point of comparison when evaluating potential value in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective prediction of market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the spread gets to the actual result, the more volatile the prices become. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies. The current price indicates the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the second quarter of the Kansas State vs Arizona State game will be used to determine winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent result. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Kansas State or Arizona State teams would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also shift the spread. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in sentiment and move the market accordingly.