TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:33 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate the total points scored by both teams in the second half of a college football game, including any overtime periods. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to resolve as 'Yes'. The outcomes depend solely on the official game result, with specific rules for postponements.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both Kansas State and Arizona State in the second half (including overtime) of their college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 41.5 points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the second half count toward these markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Examining these differences can be insightful, as the market may incorporate information not yet fully reflected in sportsbook lines. However, as the event approaches, the two may converge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 2nd half total. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that total occurring. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on the platform, making it a dynamic representation of expectations. The market is open for trading until it resolves, allowing participants to adjust their positions as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the second half of the Kansas State versus Arizona State game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches resolution.
Several signals could influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Kansas State or Arizona State would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they impact scoring, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first half, such as a dominant offensive display by one team, could lead to adjustments in the perceived probability of different 2nd half totals. Public sentiment and large trading volume from informed participants could also contribute to price fluctuations before Oct 24, 2026.