TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Kansas State or Arizona State in the second half of their upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during the second half, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Kansas St. vs Arizona St. college football game scheduled for Oct 24, 2026. For markets where Kansas St. is the favorite, resolution occurs if Kansas St. wins the second half by more than the specified point margin. Conversely, for markets where Arizona St. is the favorite, resolution occurs if Arizona St. wins the second half by more than the specified point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only the second-half scoring counts toward these resolutions, meaning any points from the first half are irrelevant for determining outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information, as traders react instantly to news and developments affecting the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final point spread in the second half of the Kansas State - Arizona State game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts predicting a certain spread, the price increases, and vice-versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the second half of the Kansas State versus Arizona State football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The difference between the final score and the spread will dictate the winning and losing contracts. The official result will be sourced from a widely recognized sports data provider to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the Kansas State - Arizona State spread between now and game time. Any significant news regarding player injuries, particularly to key offensive players for either team, would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game might also shift trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could quickly move the price, reflecting new insights or analysis.