TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Kansas St. vs Arizona St.: 1st Quarter Winner
kalshi

What is the result of Kansas St. vs Arizona St.?

Volume:
$11,582

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 4:32 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,481
N/A
N/A
$1,464
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arizona St.

0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,608
N/A
N/A
$6,286
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas St.

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,493
N/A
N/A
$3,356
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market focuses on predicting which team will lead after the first quarter of a college football game between Kansas State and Arizona State. It highlights the importance of early-game momentum and scoring efficiency in college football, where the opening quarter can significantly influence the rest of the match.

Kalshi

If Arizona St. wins the 1st quarter of the Kansas St. vs Arizona St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kansas St. wins the 1st quarter of the Kansas St. vs Arizona St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st quarter of the Kansas St. vs Arizona St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven purely by individuals predicting the outcome. As more information becomes available—such as injury reports or weather forecasts—and as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi may converge with or diverge from sportsbook odds. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional bookmakers in accuracy, particularly when a significant amount of volume is traded.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and the implied probability of that team winning the first quarter goes up. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth—the number of contracts available at different price points—indicates how much volume is available to absorb new trades, influencing price stability.

This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading after the first quarter of the Kansas State vs Arizona State game will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and results, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results have been verified.

Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Kansas State or Arizona State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could shift trader sentiment. Even public perception, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations on Kalshi.