TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 5:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead at the end of the first half in an upcoming college football game between Kansas State and Arizona State. It focuses solely on the scoring during the first half, ignoring the final game result. If the game is delayed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market still applies; otherwise, it settles at a fair price.
If Arizona St. wins the 1st half of the Kansas St. vs Arizona St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kansas St. wins the 1st half of the Kansas St. vs Arizona St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st half of the Kansas St. vs Arizona St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a team's chances, the prediction market odds may move in the opposite direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Kansas State vs Arizona State game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top outcome, as indicated by trader activity, is a tie in the 1st half, although the volume remains relatively low at this time. Traders are actively adjusting their positions based on available information and their own analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of the first half of the Kansas State vs Arizona State game will be used to determine the winning contract. The official score at halftime, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will be the basis for settlement. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts forfeited depending on whether their chosen outcome matches the actual result of the first half.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Kansas State or Arizona State team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to affect the game’s conditions, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups could also cause movement. Finally, any major shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by pre-game analysis or social media trends, could influence trading activity and the overall market price.