TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Arizona State will win its college football game against Kansas State. Currently, Kalshi gives Arizona State a 99.0% probability of winning, while Kansas State is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for October 23, 2026, as determined by the official result. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Arizona State wins the matchup on October 23, 2026, and no later than the resolution date of October 24, 2026.
The market resolves to Yes if either Kansas State or Arizona State wins the game as scheduled on October 23, 2026. Should the game be postponed but begin within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi emphasizes no official connection with the NCAA, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may emerge, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking and incorporate new information quickly, potentially leading to faster adjustments than sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume provide insight into the level of confidence traders have in each possible result. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and generate a probabilistic forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kansas State vs Arizona State game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand how the event is unfolding.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other games involving these teams, or significant shifts in public perception, could also lead to price movements. Additionally, large-volume trades from informed participants could signal new information entering the market, causing a rapid adjustment in the odds. Monitoring these signals is crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.