TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Emanuel Wilson or Kenneth Walker III will each score at least one touchdown in the Kansas City versus Seattle professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives Emanuel Wilson a 9.0% probability of scoring 1+ touchdowns, while Kenneth Walker III is at 8.0%. The market will resolve based on whether Cooper Kupp scores at least one touchdown in the game, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 25, 2026, as the outcome hinges on individual player performance during that match and will resolve by October 26, 2026.
Each market resolves based on whether a specified player scores a minimum number of touchdowns (1 or more, or 2 or more) in the game. If the player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once the player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles according to the actual touchdowns scored. Importantly, touchdowns resulting from fake punts or offensive team field goals do not count toward special teams touchdowns. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of each player's scoring performance.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in modeling approaches. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, the number of touchdowns scored. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of each possibility. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand for each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the Kansas City versus Seattle game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts within a short timeframe after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Kansas City or Seattle teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift expectations. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports commentators could influence trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations.