TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the total points scored in the Kansas City versus Seattle professional football game will exceed 18.5 points. Currently, the “over” outcome—that more than 18.5 points will be scored—is trading at 82.0% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by the final score of the Kansas City versus Seattle game, as reported according to the rules specified by Kalshi. Keep an eye on the game itself, as this market will resolve one day after the originally scheduled match date of Oct 25, 2026, on October 26, 2026.
The markets resolve based on whether the combined points scored by both Kansas City and Seattle in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 21.5 to 63.5 points. Each market corresponds to a distinct point total threshold, and the outcome is determined solely by the final scored points, regardless of other game dynamics. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and analysis. As more people trade, the price tends to converge towards what many believe is the true probability of the event occurring. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total point outcomes for the game. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more contracts are bought or sold, the price adjusts accordingly, signaling changes in market sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more traders believe the total points will be high, they'll buy contracts representing higher totals, driving up those prices.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Kansas City Chiefs versus Seattle Seahawks game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored by both teams will be used to determine which contracts settle at 100, and which settle at 0. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total points scored will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts for other totals will receive 0.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chiefs or Seahawks would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting scoring, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal shifts in sentiment and drive price changes. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.