TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:17 PM EST
Kalshi
The outcome depends on whether the football match between Kansas City and Seattle ends in a tie. A tie means neither team scores more points than the other by the end of regulation time. If the game is tied, the market will settle positively; otherwise, it will settle negatively.
If neither team wins and the game ends in a tie in the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of informed traders. If prediction market participants believe a tie is more or less likely than implied by sportsbook odds, they will trade accordingly, driving the price of contracts up or down. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply variations in risk appetite between the two groups. It's common to see this market diverge from initial sportsbook lines as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a tie in the Kansas City vs Seattle game. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the outcome. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood of a tie. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregate assessment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kansas City vs Seattle game, specifically whether the game ends in a tie. No further details about the resolution process are available at this time. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Kansas City or Seattle teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to a low-scoring, potentially tied game, could also move the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the likelihood of a tie will likely be reflected in trading activity on Kalshi.