TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:19 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether each team in an upcoming football game achieves specific offensive yardage thresholds. The outcomes depend solely on the total yards gained by each team during the game, reflecting offensive performance metrics.
All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards recorded by either Kansas City or Seattle in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold (ranging from 250 to 450 yards) for each team, and if the specified team meets or exceeds its threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Postponements are handled such that if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within this window, all affected markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see this market incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, particularly in response to late-breaking news or injury reports.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. Each contract represents a specific yardage range. The price of a contract indicates the probability of the total combined yards falling within that range. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the collective belief of all traders participating on Kalshi regarding the likely total yards for the game.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total yardage for both the Kansas City Chiefs and the Seattle Seahawks will be sourced from official game statistics. This will determine which contracts pay out and at what value, based on the yardage range they represent. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total yards will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect ranges will not.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chiefs or Seahawks would be a major catalyst, as the availability of star quarterbacks or running backs directly affects yardage potential. Weather forecasts also play a role, with adverse conditions like heavy rain or strong winds typically leading to lower yardage totals. Late-breaking reports on team strategies or changes in coaching approaches could also influence trading activity and shift the market’s price.