TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on the performance of either team relative to various scoring thresholds.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified team scores more than a designated point threshold in the game scheduled for October 25, 2026. If the team's actual points exceed the threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Multiple thresholds are offered for each team, ranging from modest scores to very high totals, providing varied opportunities for speculation on game outcomes. All markets are independent, and each threshold has its own resolution criteria. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own beliefs, which can lead to odds that diverge from sportsbook lines if a significant number of traders hold a different view. These differences can arise from unique information or simply varying interpretations of available data. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional sources.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the actual team totals will be above or below the market price. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the probability of the event occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater likelihood. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment, making it a responsive indicator of potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final team totals for both Kansas City and Seattle will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on the combined scores of both teams; traders who correctly predicted whether the actual combined total would be above or below the market price will receive a payout. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Kansas City or Seattle would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s offensive or defensive style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy revealed through pre-game reports might also move the market. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could signal shifts in sentiment and lead to price adjustments in this market.