TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a football game, focusing specifically on how many times each team's defense can tackle the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcome depends on whether specific thresholds of these tackles, known as sacks, are met by either team during the match.
The event resolves based on the total number of sacks recorded by each team in the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific sack threshold for either team, resolving to Yes if the team records at least the specified number of sacks. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring an equitable outcome regardless of the game's actual completion status.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of that outcome will rise, potentially offering better value than available elsewhere. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the likelihood of various sack totals in the upcoming game.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of sacks in the Kansas City versus Seattle game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as recorded by the NFL. Traders holding contracts on the correct total sacks will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for the game results to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Kansas City or Seattle offensive lines, particularly quarterbacks, could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might also impact the game and affect the likelihood of sacks. Furthermore, any strategic adjustments announced by the coaching staffs, or even late-breaking reports about team preparations, could cause traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions accordingly.