TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 10:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a football game, focusing specifically on how many field goals they score. Bettors can speculate on whether either team will reach certain thresholds of field goals during the match, providing insight into anticipated offensive strategies and game dynamics.
The event evaluates multiple markets centered around the number of field goals scored by each team in the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of field goals for either team, resolving to 'Yes' if the team meets or exceeds that threshold. All markets share a common secondary rule: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing changes. The markets are independent but interconnected through these shared conditions, allowing participants to bet on varying levels of scoring performance for both teams.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of an event occurring, and comparing them can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a specific outcome – in this case, the total number of field goals scored. As more traders buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game approaches. The current price reflects the collective belief of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of field goals scored in the Kansas City versus Seattle game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and the market will settle to 100 for the outcome that matches the actual result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct number of field goals will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players – particularly kickers or the offensive lines responsible for field goal attempts – could significantly shift expectations. Weather conditions, such as strong winds, could also impact the likelihood of successful field goal attempts. Game-day developments, like early scoring drives or defensive struggles, will likely cause rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding events. Public sentiment and expert analysis could also play a role in moving the market.