TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Seattle will win their game against Kansas City by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of Seattle winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 88.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, specifically if Seattle wins by more than 5.5 points. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves the day after the scheduled match date of October 26, 2026, to account for any potential rescheduling.
All markets resolve based on the point differential in the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. Each market specifies a particular point margin, and resolves to 'Yes' if the winning team exceeds that margin. Markets are divided into two categories: those where Seattle wins by more than a specified number of points, and those where Kansas City wins by more than a specified number of points. The thresholds range from 1.5 to 16.5 points for each team. All secondary rules clarify that the platform is not affiliated with the governing league and that all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on information not yet fully priced into traditional markets. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can emerge due to differing opinions, unique insights held by prediction market participants, or even behavioral biases. It’s common to see prediction markets as a potentially more accurate forecast, especially closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, whether Seattle wins by over 5.5 points. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading it, providing a real-time assessment of the game’s potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Kansas City versus Seattle game. The market will settle to 100 if Seattle wins by more than 5.5 points and to 0 if they win by 5.5 points or less. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and final score as reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s style of play, could also move the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could impact trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls and expert analysis, can also play a role, though the market often incorporates information before it becomes widely known.