TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two key players in an upcoming NFL matchup between Kansas City and Seattle. It focuses on how many rushing yards each player accumulates during the game, with payouts varying based on their individual yardage totals. The structure rewards participants based on the exact rushing yard achievements of specified players.
The event features two separate scalar markets, each tied to a different player’s rushing yard performance in the same football game. For each market, Yes contracts pay a fixed rate per rushing yard achieved by the designated player, capped at a maximum payout of $1.00. The No contracts pay the remainder, ensuring the total payout per contract equals $1.00. Payouts are proportional to the holder’s position size and calculated based on actual yardage, with examples provided for clarity. Both markets operate independently, allowing participants to speculate on each player’s performance separately, while all trademarks and branding remain property of their respective owners, and the platform disclaims any official affiliation with the NFL.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market's prices are driven purely by supply and demand among traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If there’s a significant discrepancy between the two, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced a particular outcome. It's common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbook odds in terms of accuracy, especially closer to the event date.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can place limit orders to buy or sell at specific prices, or market orders to execute trades immediately at the best available price. The goal is to profit from correctly predicting the final rushing yard totals.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the Kansas City vs Seattle game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect the actual rushing yards achieved by the players during the game. The market will settle to 100 for the highest applicable yardage tier achieved, and 0 for all others. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would any changes to the expected game plan or weather conditions. Unexpected news regarding team strategies or player availability could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate new information is being incorporated into the price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.