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419,363
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Closed: Oct 25, 11:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Emanuel Wilson will achieve over 25 rushing yards in the Kansas City versus Seattle professional football game. Currently, the probability of Emanuel Wilson exceeding 25 rushing yards on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by whether Kenneth Walker III records 150+ rushing yards in the game, as reported by the official game statistics. Keep a close watch on Kenneth Walker III’s performance leading up to and including the game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, as the market will resolve on 2026-10-26 following the conclusion of the game.
All markets resolve based on whether Kenneth Walker III records the specified rushing yard threshold or higher in the Kansas City vs Seattle professional football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If Walker is active but never takes a snap, markets settle to the fair market price before game start. Once he takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based strictly on the rushing yards he records during the game. All markets are independent, each corresponding to a different numerical threshold of rushing yards.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, incorporating a margin for profit, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. Comparing this market to sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd believes there's value or mispricing relative to professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total rushing yards. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective assessment of market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of that contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and generate a probabilistic forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final official rushing yard totals for the Kansas City versus Seattle game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will be used to determine the total rushing yards achieved by both teams, and the market will settle based on which yardage range the final total falls into. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results are verified.