TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Kenneth Walker III achieves specific yardage milestones in a football game between Kansas City and Seattle. The outcome depends on his combined rushing and receiving yards meeting or exceeding predefined thresholds. The event resolves based on his actual performance during the game.
The event evaluates Kenneth Walker III’s combined rushing and receiving yards in the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026, against three sequential thresholds: 110+, 135+, and 160+ yards. For each threshold, if Walker III records at least the specified yardage total, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule applies uniformly across all markets: if Walker III is listed as active for the game but does not take a single snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once he takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is later nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly based on the actual yards he records during the game. These rules ensure that markets reflect real in-game performance while accounting for pre-game uncertainty regarding player participation.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from participants. It’s common to see prediction market prices shift as new information emerges, potentially offering different value than traditional sportsbooks. However, the relationship isn’t always straightforward, and discrepancies can arise due to varying risk appetites and market dynamics. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous, order-book style exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of the traders regarding the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the latest expectations. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism driven by supply and demand, offering a forward-looking view of the potential rushing and receiving yardage totals for this game.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final combined rushing and receiving yardage totals for the Kansas City and Seattle players will be sourced from official game statistics. The resolution will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual yardage totals fall above or below the specified thresholds defined within this market.
News regarding player injuries is a primary driver for this market. If a key running back or receiver for either Kansas City or Seattle is ruled out, it would likely cause a substantial shift in the odds. Changes in the projected weather conditions for the game could also have an impact, as inclement weather often favors a run-heavy approach. Additionally, any updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as expert analysis predicting a change in offensive focus, could influence how traders position themselves in this market.