TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market predicts whether Jaxon Smith-Njigba will record 7 or more receptions in the Kansas City vs Seattle professional football game. Currently, the probability of Jaxon Smith-Njigba achieving 7+ receptions on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on official game statistics; specifically, if AJ Barner records 8+ receptions in the game originally scheduled for October 25, 2026, the market resolves to Yes. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market resolution is tied to the final reception counts recorded after the game concludes on October 26, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the total receptions recorded by specified players during the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based on the actual number of receptions recorded. All markets are independent, with each defining a specific reception threshold (e.g., 2+, 3+, etc.) that must be met for a 'Yes' outcome. The markets cover multiple players, each with their own set of thresholds, allowing for varied betting opportunities on individual performance metrics.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating growing confidence in that outcome. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth – the number of buy and sell orders at various price points – provides insight into the potential price movement and the level of conviction among traders. The current price reflects the aggregate assessment of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for players in the Kansas City vs Seattle game will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on these verified totals, determining which outcome – if any – correctly predicted the total number of receptions. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The precise details of the outcome are determined by the official game statistics.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Kansas City or Seattle teams would likely cause substantial price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to favor passing or running, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected shifts in coaching strategies or game plans, revealed through pre-game reports, might prompt traders to reassess their positions. Finally, late-breaking news about player availability or performance expectations could lead to rapid adjustments in the market prices as traders react to the latest information.