TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions specific players achieve in an upcoming football game between Kansas City and Seattle. The outcome depends on whether designated players meet or exceed specified reception thresholds during the full match, including any overtime periods.
All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but none after, including overtime, the contract resolves to the fair price unless the player meets the reception requirement, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half participation. Penalties that nullify a play do not count toward receptions, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and all statistics include overtime periods.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The prices are determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Kalshi, and there is no central authority setting the odds. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect changing expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for players in the Kansas City versus Seattle game will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring accuracy and transparency. Traders will be able to view the official results on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game, and payouts will be processed accordingly based on the final outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to the game. Injury reports for key wide receivers on both teams are major catalysts; news of an injury to a top pass-catcher would likely shift the probabilities. Weather conditions, particularly if there's a forecast for heavy rain or wind, could also impact passing volume and therefore reception totals. Unexpected changes in team strategy or play-calling, or even pre-game news regarding player matchups, could also cause the market to react and adjust its pricing. Any significant news related to these factors could lead to increased volume and price movement.