TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Kansas City vs Seattle: Receptions
kalshi

What is the result of Kansas City vs Seattle?

Volume:
$73,634

Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 5+

 - Kalshi

Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 5+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 9:41 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 5+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,488
N/A
N/A
$8,488
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Travis Kelce: 2+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,293
N/A
N/A
$8,289
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 7+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,710
N/A
N/A
$7,700
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Travis Kelce: 3+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,607
N/A
N/A
$7,607
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 6+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,993
N/A
N/A
$5,980
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 4+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,649
N/A
N/A
$3,649
Settled
Yes
kalshi

AJ Barner: 3+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,150
N/A
N/A
$3,149
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cooper Kupp: 2+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,026
N/A
N/A
$3,026
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kenneth Walker III: 4+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,965
N/A
N/A
$2,965
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Xavier Worthy: 3+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,785
N/A
N/A
$2,785
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kenneth Walker III: 3+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,059
N/A
N/A
$2,059
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Xavier Worthy: 2+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,852
N/A
N/A
$1,852
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Noah Gray: 3+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,511
N/A
N/A
$1,511
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Travis Kelce: 4+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,501
N/A
N/A
$1,501
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Noah Gray: 2+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,256
N/A
N/A
$1,256
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kenneth Walker III: 2+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,132
N/A
N/A
$1,132
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rashid Shaheed: 2+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 8+

100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$903
N/A
N/A
$903
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cyrus Allen: 1+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$631
N/A
N/A
$631
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 9+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$513
N/A
N/A
$511
Settled
Yes
kalshi

AJ Barner: 2+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$351
N/A
N/A
$350
Settled
Yes
kalshi

AJ Barner: 4+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$162
N/A
N/A
$162
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rashid Shaheed: 3+

40%
Yes 40¢No 60¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Cyrus Allen: 4+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,207
N/A
N/A
$1,207
Settled
No
kalshi

Travis Kelce: 5+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,086
N/A
N/A
$798
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 86

Description

This event tracks the number of receptions specific players achieve in an upcoming football game between Kansas City and Seattle. The outcome depends on whether designated players meet or exceed specified reception thresholds during the full match, including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but none after, including overtime, the contract resolves to the fair price unless the player meets the reception requirement, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half participation. Penalties that nullify a play do not count toward receptions, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and all statistics include overtime periods.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often diverging from initial sportsbook lines as new information becomes available. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of perspectives and real-time adjustments based on trader sentiment. It's common to see this market move differently than sportsbook odds, especially closer to the event date as more data—like injury reports or weather forecasts—emerges and influences trader behavior. Polls and analysts’ predictions often align more closely with initial sportsbook lines than with the dynamic pricing seen here.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The prices are determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Kalshi, and there is no central authority setting the odds. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect changing expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for players in the Kansas City versus Seattle game will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring accuracy and transparency. Traders will be able to view the official results on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game, and payouts will be processed accordingly based on the final outcome.

Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to the game. Injury reports for key wide receivers on both teams are major catalysts; news of an injury to a top pass-catcher would likely shift the probabilities. Weather conditions, particularly if there's a forecast for heavy rain or wind, could also impact passing volume and therefore reception totals. Unexpected changes in team strategy or play-calling, or even pre-game news regarding player matchups, could also cause the market to react and adjust its pricing. Any significant news related to these factors could lead to increased volume and price movement.