TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance metrics in an upcoming professional football game. It focuses on whether certain athletes achieve predetermined receiving yard thresholds during the match. The outcome depends solely on the players' statistical accomplishments without influencing broader game results.
All markets share consistent protective and settlement provisions. Contracts are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but none after (including overtime), the contract resolves to the pre-game fair price unless the player meets the specified yardage threshold, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count toward participation requirements. Players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies exclusively to full-game contracts with 'at least' payout criteria. All yardage calculations include overtime periods, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may emerge, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics from the Kansas City vs Seattle game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards totals for all players will be used to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual results. The resolution will be based on the official data released by the relevant sports league, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding player injuries to key receivers on either the Kansas City or Seattle teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict adverse conditions, could also shift expectations about passing yardage. Late-breaking reports about team strategies or defensive matchups could also cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the game's likely outcome could contribute to price fluctuations.