TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 35 points in an upcoming professional football game. It captures the dynamic nature of the contest by focusing on the pace of scoring rather than the final outcome. The resolution depends purely on which team hits that benchmark first, or if neither achieves it during the game.
The event determines whether Kansas City, Seattle, or neither team is the first to score 35 points in the Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. If either team reaches 35 points first during the full game, including any overtime periods, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should neither team achieve this milestone, the 'Neither Team' market resolves to Yes. Postponements are handled such that if the game starts within 48 hours of its original scheduled time, the market remains open to resolve based on the final result. If the game does not commence within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under varying scheduling circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own beliefs, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. Any discrepancies can reveal where the crowd disagrees with conventional wisdom regarding the scoring potential of each team in this matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Kansas City or Seattle will reach 35 points first. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team reaching the target score. The price moves based on supply and demand for each contract.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, if either, reaches 35 points first during the game. The final score as officially recorded will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any potential overtime periods will be included in the final point totals considered for resolution of this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Kansas City or Seattle would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, pre-game analysis and expert predictions, if they deviate from the current market consensus, could prompt traders to adjust their positions. Finally, early game developments, such as a quick scoring drive by one team, could lead to substantial price movements in this market.