TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 14 points in an upcoming professional football game. It captures the dynamic nature of the contest by focusing on early scoring momentum rather than the final outcome. The resolution depends purely on the in-game progression of points.
The event determines whether Seattle, Kansas City, or neither team is the first to score 14 points in the Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. If either team reaches 14 points first during the full game, including any overtime periods, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should neither team achieve this milestone, the 'Neither Team' market resolves to Yes. Postponements are handled by allowing the market to remain open if the game starts within 48 hours of its original time; otherwise, it resolves to a fair price. All outcomes are based solely on official game results.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome – in this case, Kansas City or Seattle reaching 14 points first. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time view of expectations. The market depth indicates how much volume is available at different price points, showing the strength of conviction behind various predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, Kansas City or Seattle, reached 14 points first during the game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and scoring records, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in the market at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Kansas City or Seattle would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Changes in team performance during recent games, or adjustments to offensive or defensive strategies, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on game day, or even pre-game analysis from prominent sports commentators, might lead to traders reassessing their positions. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of scoring first will likely move the market.