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$271,200,656

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2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

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4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Kansas City vs Seattle: Passing Yards
kalshi

What is the result of Kansas City vs Seattle?

Volume:
$21,599

Sam Darnold: 175+

 - Kalshi

Sam Darnold: 175+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 11:21 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 175+

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,046
N/A
N/A
$4,040
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 150+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,861
N/A
N/A
$3,861
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 150+

100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,852
N/A
N/A
$3,845
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 225+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,202
N/A
N/A
$2,193
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 200+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,592
N/A
N/A
$1,592
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 250+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$474
N/A
N/A
$462
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 225+

0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,054
N/A
N/A
$2,556
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 200+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$447
N/A
N/A
$306
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 250+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$290
N/A
N/A
$154
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 175+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$267
N/A
N/A
$254
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 275+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$196
N/A
N/A
$195
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 300+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$134
N/A
N/A
$134
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 275+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$131
N/A
N/A
$131
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 350+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52
N/A
N/A
$52
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 300+

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 325+

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 350+

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 325+

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 18

Description

This event tracks passing yard milestones for specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game. The outcome depends on whether the designated player achieves various passing yard thresholds during the full match, including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the specified quarterback achieves the exact passing yard threshold stated in the primary rule during the entire game, including overtime. All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if the player participates in at least one play during the first half but none after halftime (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price set before the game started unless the player meets the threshold, in which case it settles based on actual performance. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates is subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL passing yards market tracks the current prices for various outcomes, displaying the implied probabilities of each. You can view a historical record of price movements, allowing you to analyze how sentiment has shifted over time. The dashboard also shows the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $20,912, and the total overall volume traded in this market, which stands at $21,599. This provides insight into the level of interest and activity surrounding different potential passing yardage totals.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or attempt to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – both sets of odds will adjust, but the speed and magnitude of those adjustments can vary. It’s common to see this market move more efficiently with new information than traditional betting markets.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. The more traders participate and the higher the volume, the more efficient the price discovery process becomes, leading to a more accurate reflection of the true probabilities.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yardage totals for the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL following the completion of the Kansas City versus Seattle game. The market will determine which outcome – representing a specific range of passing yards – aligns with the official data. Any disputes regarding the official statistics will be addressed according to Kalshi’s standard procedures.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the starting quarterbacks for either team – including injuries or changes in playing status – would be a major catalyst. Weather conditions, particularly strong winds or heavy rain, could also influence passing yardage totals. Unexpected changes in coaching strategy or defensive schemes could also shift expectations. Finally, late-breaking news regarding key wide receivers or offensive linemen could lead to substantial price movements in this market as traders react to the latest information.