TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how many passing touchdowns they achieve. Bettors can speculate on whether a player will reach certain thresholds of scoring passes during the match. The outcome depends purely on the players' ability to connect with receivers for touchdowns throughout the game.
All markets in this event resolve based on the total number of passing touchdowns recorded by specified quarterbacks during the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. For each market, if the named quarterback achieves the specified minimum number of passing touchdowns (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule states that if the quarterback is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once the quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether any play is nullified by penalty—the market settles strictly based on the actual number of passing touchdowns recorded during the game. These provisions ensure that markets are resolved fairly, accounting for both player participation and in-game performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on their own analysis and may adjust them based on betting action, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of volume is traded. Polls and analysts often predict a certain number of touchdowns, but this market provides a continuously updated probability based on real money at risk.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final number of passing touchdowns scored by both teams in the Kansas City versus Seattle game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict adverse conditions for passing, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could quickly shift the price, so monitoring the trading activity on Kalshi is crucial.