TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Sports
Kansas City vs Seattle: Passing Touchdowns
kalshi

What is the result of Kansas City vs Seattle?

Volume:
$16,544

Sam Darnold: 1+

 - Kalshi

Sam Darnold: 1+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 9:34 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,568
N/A
N/A
$9,568
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 2+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,562
N/A
N/A
$1,861
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 4+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,564
N/A
N/A
$1,564
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 3+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,262
N/A
N/A
$1,262
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 2+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$719
N/A
N/A
$653
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 3+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$619
N/A
N/A
$619
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$237
N/A
N/A
$196
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 4+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
$14
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how many times they successfully throw the ball for touchdowns. The outcome depends on whether each player reaches certain thresholds of scoring passes during the match.

Kalshi

These contracts resolve based on whether specified quarterbacks achieve particular numbers of passing touchdowns in the designated game, including any overtime periods. Each contract is marked as 'protected,' meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but none after halftime, the contract settles at the pre-game fair price unless the player meets or exceeds the required touchdown threshold, in which case it settles based on actual performance. If the player participates in any play after halftime, the contract always settles based on actual statistics, irrespective of first-half involvement. Plays nullified by penalties do not count toward participation or touchdown totals. Players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protection mechanism applies exclusively to full-game contracts with 'at least' or 'above' payout criteria.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL passing touchdowns market tracks the current odds for various outcomes related to the number of passing touchdowns scored in the Kansas City versus Seattle game. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the probabilities have shifted over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $16,095. The total volume for this market is $16,544. This allows you to see how actively traders are participating and gauge market sentiment regarding potential touchdown performances.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling on both venues. It's common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, and this market is no exception.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored by each team during the Kansas City versus Seattle game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders should monitor official sources as the game progresses to understand how the outcome is unfolding and how it might affect this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to favor passing or running offenses, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or player matchups could also move the market. Finally, as game day approaches, any public statements from analysts or players regarding expected passing volume could create volatility in this market.