TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing interceptions by quarterbacks in an upcoming NFL game between Kansas City and Seattle. The outcome depends on whether specific players record a certain number of interceptions during the match. Markets resolve based on official game statistics.
All markets in this event resolve based on the number of passing interceptions recorded by named quarterbacks (Sam Darnold and Patrick Mahomes) during the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market has a threshold for resolution (1+, 2+, or 3+ interceptions). If a quarterback is active for the team but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap — even if that play is nullified by a penalty — the market resolves based on the actual number of interceptions recorded during the game. All markets are independent, and each resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified quarterback meets or exceeds the threshold for that particular market. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, they can take a position in this market, driving the price to reflect their collective view. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts, and this market can sometimes offer more favorable odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a specific number of interceptions, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, offering a unique perspective on the potential game outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing interceptions thrown during the Kansas City versus Seattle game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the data is verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the quarterbacks’ recent performance, injury reports affecting their ability to throw accurately, or changes in weather conditions that might favor a run-heavy offense could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about defensive strategies employed by either team, or even pre-game analysis highlighting a particular weakness in either passing game, could also lead to significant price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.