TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Kansas City vs Seattle: Passing Attempts
kalshi

What is the result of Kansas City vs Seattle?

Volume:
$65,291

Patrick Mahomes: 32+

 - Kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 32+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 11:06 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 32+

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38,493
N/A
N/A
$35,790
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 27+

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,574
N/A
N/A
$4,558
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 26+

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,827
N/A
N/A
$3,827
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 31+

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,837
N/A
N/A
$10,531
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 37+

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,509
N/A
N/A
$3,066
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Darnold: 36+

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,051
N/A
N/A
$2,900
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

These markets track the number of passing attempts made by specific quarterbacks during an upcoming football game. The outcomes depend on whether each player meets or exceeds designated attempt thresholds. Settlements consider player participation and in-game actions, ensuring fair resolution even if circumstances change before or during the game.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the total passing attempts recorded by the named quarterback during the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. For each market, if the specified player records the minimum number of passing attempts or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a quarterback is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly based on the actual number of passing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for both Sam Darnold and Patrick Mahomes, with each market having its own threshold for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market incorporates real-time sentiment and information as traders buy and sell contracts. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Comparing the odds can provide valuable insights into where the crowd believes value lies in predicting the number of passing attempts.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the likelihood of various passing attempt totals. This creates a fluid environment where prices can move quickly based on supply and demand.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final passing attempt statistics for the Kansas City versus Seattle game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as recorded by the NFL. The exact number of passing attempts made by the relevant quarterbacks will determine which outcome settles positively. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct number of passing attempts will receive a payout.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding quarterback injuries for either team would likely have a significant impact, as would changes in weather forecasts that could affect passing strategies. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive play-calling tendencies could also move the market. Furthermore, late-breaking reports on player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in trader sentiment. Monitoring these signals can help predict how this market may evolve before it resolves.