TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This outcome is determined by whether the football game between Kansas City and Seattle goes into overtime. Overtime occurs when the match is tied at the end of the regular playing time. If the game requires additional periods to determine a winner, the market will settle positively.
If the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026 goes to overtime, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may adjust their odds in response to betting action, this market continuously updates based on every trade, potentially leading to a more accurate reflection of true probabilities as the event approaches. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a 'Yes' outcome. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy 'Yes' contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective beliefs of all participants. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Kansas City Chiefs versus Seattle Seahawks game is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether the game officially goes into overtime, as determined by the official game statistics. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine whether the 'Yes' or 'No' contract will pay out. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and settlement details on Kalshi once the resolution process is complete.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Chiefs or the Seahawks would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also impact expectations. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role, though this market is driven primarily by trading activity on Kalshi and represents a distinct signal.