TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game between Kansas City and Seattle. It covers all types of touchdowns, including those scored by offense, defense, or special teams, and accounts for scoring that occurs in overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on the first touchdown scored, regardless of the game's final score.
The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026, with three possible outcomes: Seattle scores first, Kansas City scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown during the entire game including any overtime periods. All touchdown types—offensive, defensive, and special teams—are counted toward this resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price. The event explicitly covers touchdowns scored in overtime, with the first such score determining the resolution for the respective team’s market; if no touchdowns are scored at all, the “No team scores a TD” market resolves as the winner.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and participant motivations. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of individual traders. You may find that this market incorporates information not fully captured by sportsbooks, such as subtle player news or team dynamics. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of each team scoring the first touchdown. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time view of expectations. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in each potential outcome, influencing the prices you see.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first touchdown in the Kansas City versus Seattle game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring an accurate and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their contract values after the game concludes and the information is verified.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Kansas City or Seattle teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor a particular offensive style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts might affect traders’ perceptions and lead to price fluctuations.