TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether specific athletes or units surpass predetermined fantasy point thresholds based on a standardized scoring system.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points accumulated by specified players or team defense/special teams units during the full game (including overtime) between Kansas City and Seattle, using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system. A "Yes" outcome occurs if the designated participant records above the stated fantasy point threshold; otherwise, it resolves to "No". Players or units that do not participate or lack assigned fantasy points are treated as scoring zero. The official fantasy point totals published by Sleeper at market expiration are used for resolution, with no post-expiration adjustments or rounding applied. Scoring includes passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, defensive/special teams contributions, and accounts for negative impacts such as interceptions, missed kicks, and fumbles.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, as traders react quickly to news and developments impacting the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different fantasy point totals for the game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. The closer we get to the event, the more volatile the prices may become as new information emerges and traders refine their predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official fantasy point totals from the Kansas City vs Seattle game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy point totals, as calculated by a major fantasy sports provider, will determine which contracts settle at 100 and which settle at 0. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual fantasy point total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for other totals will not.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Kansas City or Seattle teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team's offensive style, could also move the market. Late-breaking news about player matchups or coaching strategies could also influence traders' expectations. Finally, as the game approaches, any shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis could contribute to price movements in this market.