TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This event ties the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game to financial outcomes, where payouts scale with the players' fantasy points. The structure ensures that returns are directly proportional to in-game achievements, with clear limits on potential earnings. Participants can bet on whether each player's performance will yield specific financial results based on their statistical contributions.
Each market functions as a scalar outcome where Yes contracts pay $0.01 per PPR fantasy point scored by the designated player during the specified game, rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up, and capped between $0.00 and $1.00. The No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are proportional to the holder's position size. If the fantasy point total is not assigned by Sleeper for the specified week, the player is considered to have scored 0.0 points, resulting in a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. The rules apply uniformly across all player-specific markets, ensuring consistency in calculation and resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance their risk and ensure profitability, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individuals willing to put their capital behind their predictions. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd believes the value lies, compared to professional oddsmakers. Keep in mind that both represent probabilities of an outcome, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the price can fluctuate significantly, especially closer to the resolution date, as traders react to news and updates related to the Kansas City vs Seattle game. The goal is to find discrepancies between your own assessment and the market price.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final results of the Kansas City vs Seattle game as reported by official sources. The specific outcome that triggers resolution will depend on the market’s design, but it will be clearly defined on Kalshi. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. It’s important to monitor official sources as the event nears completion to understand the resolution process.
Several signals and events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Major announcements about team performance or key player availability would likely cause price fluctuations. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, significant bets placed by informed traders could also move the market. Monitoring these factors and staying informed about the Kansas City vs Seattle game will be crucial for making informed trading decisions.