TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both Kansas City and Seattle teams during the final quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market has a different threshold, allowing participants to speculate on various levels of scoring intensity in the last quarter of play.
All markets resolve based on the combined points scored by both Kansas City and Seattle during the 4th quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the total points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the total points are at or below the threshold, the market resolves to 'No.' Only points scored during regulation time of the 4th quarter count, with overtime points excluded from all calculations. These markets are independent, meaning each threshold operates separately, allowing for varied outcomes across different scoring levels.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging towards probabilities that are more accurate than those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news, as the market rapidly incorporates new information. However, as the event approaches, the prices in this market tend to align more closely with sportsbook odds, representing a collective assessment of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the 4th quarter total will be over or under a certain number of points. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a stronger belief in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the price reflects the aggregate expectations of all participants trading on Kalshi, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential score.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 4th quarter between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Seattle Seahawks is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, and the market will settle to 100 for the winning outcome (over/under the specified points total) and 0 for the losing outcome. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout of 100 per contract, while those on the losing side will lose their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Chiefs or the Seahawks would likely cause significant movement, as this impacts scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect passing or kicking games, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, and even public sentiment shifts reflected in betting trends, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market before Oct 26, 2026.