TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Kansas City vs Seattle: 4th Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Kansas City vs Seattle?

Volume:
$113,051

Seattle wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Seattle wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 11:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,987
N/A
N/A
$7,560
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,234
N/A
N/A
$5,629
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,311
N/A
N/A
$4,709
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,679
N/A
N/A
$4,687
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,097
N/A
N/A
$27,473
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,705
N/A
N/A
$7,172
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,384
N/A
N/A
$10,292
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,159
N/A
N/A
$6,321
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,765
N/A
N/A
$7,019
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,136
N/A
N/A
$1,046
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$593
N/A
N/A
$590
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Kansas City or Seattle specifically within the final quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during that timeframe.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 4th quarter of play, with overtime periods excluded from consideration. Each market specifies a different point differential threshold that must be surpassed by the winning team for a 'Yes' resolution. Markets are structured symmetrically for both teams, covering various margin thresholds from narrow victories (e.g., >1.5 points) to decisive wins (e.g., >10.5 points). The outcome depends entirely on the scoring differential achieved exclusively in the last quarter of regulation time, with no regard to the game's earlier periods or final overall result.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL 4th quarter spread tracks the current price of contracts representing predictions on the point differential in the fourth quarter of the Kansas City versus Seattle game. It displays the real-time odds, a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $87,941. Total volume for this market is $113,051. This allows users to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the final quarter’s scoring margin.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market’s price is determined by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders capitalize on price variations between the two types of markets.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions on the 4th quarter spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can take either the 'buy' side, predicting the spread will be lower than the current price, or the 'sell' side, anticipating it will be higher. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the most likely outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread in the fourth quarter of the Kansas City versus Seattle game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will settle to 100 if the actual 4th quarter spread matches the contract price, and proportionally less for any deviation, reflecting the accuracy of predictions made within this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the game’s conclusion. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Kansas City or Seattle teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s offensive or defensive style, could also impact trading activity. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from respected sports commentators could shift public perception and, consequently, the price of contracts in this market.