TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 10:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in a specific quarter of an upcoming football game between Kansas City and Seattle. It highlights the competitive nature of individual quarters within a larger game, where short-term performance can have distinct outcomes.
If Seattle wins the 3rd Quarter of the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kansas City wins the 3rd Quarter of the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 3rd Quarter of the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their own predictions. If there's a significant difference, it could signal that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies and information access.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders directly bid and ask for contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. Buying a contract is like betting on that outcome, and selling a contract is like taking the opposite position. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on which team has the higher score at the end of the third quarter of the Kansas City vs Seattle game. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact prices. Unexpected performance in the first half of the game, or even pre-game reports about team morale, could also cause significant movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal a shift in sentiment, prompting others to adjust their positions. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into how the market is evolving and potentially identify trading opportunities.