TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 10:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both Kansas City and Seattle during the third quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the combined points that need to be exceeded for the bet to succeed.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both Kansas City and Seattle in the third quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined score exceeds 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, 10.5, 13.5, 14.5, 17.5, 20.5, 21.5, or 24.5 points, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' Only points scored during the third quarter count, and all markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors one outcome. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the market believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the probability of various results. Keep in mind that prediction markets aggregate diverse perspectives, potentially leading to more accurate forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the game gets, the more the price will likely converge towards the true probability of the total points scored in the third quarter. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, incorporating new information and influencing the market price.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the 3rd quarter of the Kansas City vs Seattle game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts shortly after the game concludes and the official statistics are released. It’s important to monitor the game and official sources for updates.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Kansas City or Seattle teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also impact trading activity. In-game performance during the first half of the game, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, could shift expectations and drive price changes. Unexpected strategic decisions by coaches or significant momentum swings during the game could also contribute to volatility in this market.