TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 10:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in a specific quarter of an upcoming football game between Kansas City and Seattle. It highlights the competitive nature of individual quarters within a larger game, where scoring efficiency can shift momentum.
If Seattle wins the 2nd Quarter of the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kansas City wins the 2nd Quarter of the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Quarter of the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may more efficiently incorporate information and react to news or signals that sportsbooks haven't fully priced in. It’s common to see differences in implied probabilities between this market and sportsbook offerings, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity provide insights into the strength of conviction behind each prediction, and the price movements are driven by supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team that has the higher score at the end of the second quarter will be declared the winner of this market. The official game statistics will be used to determine the result, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome of the Kansas City vs Seattle game.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift traders’ expectations and impact the odds. Unexpected performance in the first quarter of the game would likely cause significant movement, as traders adjust their predictions based on the initial gameplay. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also drive changes in this market as traders react to the evolving narrative surrounding the Kansas City vs Seattle matchup.