TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:19 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate various scoring thresholds for the second half of an upcoming professional football game between Kansas City and Seattle. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance that must be exceeded for the market to resolve positively.
All markets assess whether the combined points scored by Kansas City and Seattle in the second half (including any overtime periods) of their game scheduled for October 25, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. Each market has a unique threshold, and the outcome depends solely on the total points scored during this specific segment of gameplay. If the combined score meets or surpasses the threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored in the second half and any subsequent overtime count toward these markets. The markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or breaking news. Analyzing these differences can be valuable, as prediction markets have sometimes demonstrated greater accuracy in forecasting outcomes than traditional methods. However, sportsbook odds remain a widely used benchmark for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions about the outcome of the Kansas City vs Seattle 2nd half. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likely total score in the second half. The goal is to find contracts that you believe are mispriced, either undervalued or overvalued, based on your own analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total score of the second half of the Kansas City vs Seattle game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The market will settle based on the official game statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their stake. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Kansas City or Seattle teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first half, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, could shift trader sentiment and alter the price. Unexpected strategic decisions by coaches or late-breaking news about team dynamics could also play a role.