TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will lead after the first quarter of play in an upcoming professional football game between Kansas City and Seattle. It captures the immediate competitive momentum early in the match, reflecting strategic starts and early-game performance.
If Seattle wins the 1st Quarter of the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kansas City wins the 1st Quarter of the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Quarter of the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the collective belief of traders. If a significant number of people believe one team is more likely to win, the price for that outcome will increase, potentially moving further from the initial sportsbook line. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Buying a contract is essentially betting on that outcome, and selling a contract is taking the opposite position. The market dynamically adjusts to incorporate new information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by which team – Kansas City or Seattle – has the higher score at the end of the first quarter of the game. The final score will be verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be paid out based on the final result and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team strategy could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the perceived likelihood of either team winning the first quarter. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from sports analysts and public polls could sway opinions and drive trading activity, causing fluctuations in the prices until the game begins and the first quarter concludes.