TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various scoring thresholds for the first quarter of a football game between Kansas City and Seattle. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance that participants can speculate on before the game begins. The outcomes depend solely on the combined points scored by both teams during the first quarter of play.
These markets assess whether the combined points scored by Kansas City and Seattle in the first quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. Resolution hinges exclusively on the total points accumulated during the first quarter, with all secondary rules consistently emphasizing that only points scored in this timeframe are considered. Each market corresponds to a unique threshold, and the outcome for each is determined by comparing the actual first-quarter score against its respective threshold. The markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others, and all operate under the same foundational condition regarding the timing and counting of points.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by experts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and team news, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It's common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges and traders adjust their forecasts. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the Kansas City vs Seattle 1st quarter.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 1st quarter total. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific total occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market for the Kansas City vs Seattle game.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total score of the first quarter of the Kansas City vs Seattle game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by the league, and the market will settle to 100 for the outcome that matches the actual first quarter total. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the game concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Kansas City or Seattle teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Even significant pre-game analysis from respected sports commentators could influence trader sentiment and shift prices. Any unexpected developments leading up to and during the first quarter of the game have the potential to alter predictions and trading activity in this market.