TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 10:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will lead at halftime in an upcoming professional football game between Kansas City and Seattle. It evaluates the performance of both teams strictly during the first half of play, with a separate outcome for a tied score.
If Seattle wins the 1st Half of the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kansas City wins the 1st Half of the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Half of the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which may be influenced by factors like public perception or early betting action. Sportsbooks often set lines to attract balanced betting, while this market aggregates information from individuals incentivized to predict correctly. Over time, prediction market prices often become more accurate than traditional odds, especially as more information becomes available and the event draws nearer. It’s common to see convergence, but discrepancies can still exist due to differing market participants and information access.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to incorporate new information and opinions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the cost to purchase a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome wins, and selling a contract represents betting against that outcome. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand for these contracts.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on which team is leading at the end of the first half of the Kansas City vs Seattle game. The official game results will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to contract holders.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Kansas City or Seattle teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also move the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could influence trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself, driven by informed traders or new information, can create momentum and shift prices in either direction.