TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$238,896,186

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,934,485

408,127

Markets across

39,552

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,429

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Kansas City vs Las Vegas: Rushing Yards Escalator
kalshi

What is the result of Kansas City vs Las Vegas?

Volume:
$55,262

Kenneth Walker III

 - Kalshi

Kenneth Walker III - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 8:24 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kenneth Walker III

View
61%
46%
Yes 61.4¢No 38.6¢
—
N/A
$7,035
N/A
N/A
$3,197
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Ashton Jeanty

View
2%
Yes 1.6¢No 98.4¢
—
N/A
$706
N/A
N/A
$498
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,521
N/A
N/A
$31,913
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

These markets track the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game by offering payouts based on their rushing yardage. Contracts reward participants based on how many yards each player gains, with increasing returns for higher yardage milestones. The structure ensures a clear financial incentive tied directly to player statistics.

Kalshi

Contracts in this event pay out based on the official rushing yards accumulated by designated players during the Kansas City vs Las Vegas Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each Yes contract’s payout escalates incrementally with every 10-yard block of rushing yards achieved by the respective player, following a predefined schedule that caps at $1.00 for 200 or more yards. The payout formula uses a cubic scaling function to determine the precise return, ensuring higher yardage results in disproportionately larger payouts. Each No contract pays the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout, effectively creating a zero-sum dynamic where total returns for both positions sum to $1.00. Negative rushing yard totals result in a $0.00 payout for Yes contracts. All markets resolve to Yes upon official confirmation of the game’s statistics, and payouts are strictly limited to the defined schedule, with Kalshi explicitly disclaiming any official affiliation with the governing league.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Chiefs-Raiders rushing yards market displays the current price of contracts, representing the probability of different rushing yardage totals. You can view a price history chart to see how the market has moved over time, and observe the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $45,416. Total volume for this market is $55,262. The dashboard also highlights the most actively traded outcomes, giving you a sense of where traders are focusing their attention within this particular event.

Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, whereas this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. You may find that the implied probabilities from Kalshi diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. This divergence can be particularly noticeable closer to the event date as more traders participate.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage ranges for the Chiefs and Raiders. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, based on supply and demand.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage totals for both the Kansas City Chiefs and the Las Vegas Raiders are verifiable from credible public reporting following the completion of their game. The final rushing yardage totals will be sourced from official game statistics and used to determine which contracts payout. The market will settle to the final, official rushing yardage totals as reported by the league.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst, as would any changes to the teams' offensive strategies. Weather conditions on game day could also play a role, potentially favoring a run-heavy approach. Unexpected news regarding player suspensions or coaching decisions could also cause shifts in the market. Finally, any significant public information related to team preparation or anticipated game plans could impact trading activity and move the price of contracts in this market.