TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:56 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether specific players achieve particular yardage thresholds in an upcoming football game between Kansas City and Las Vegas. Each outcome depends on a player's combined rushing and receiving yards meeting or exceeding a set number. The contests focus on individual performance metrics rather than the game's overall result.
All markets resolve based on whether designated players record specified thresholds of combined rushing and receiving yards during the Kansas City vs Las Vegas Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. If a player is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual yards recorded during the game. All outcomes are strictly dependent on the players' individual statistical performance, with no consideration given to the game's final score or other external factors. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many participants. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant news or events impact perceptions. While sportsbooks may initially lean on statistical models, this market can incorporate more subjective factors and react quickly to new information as it becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage totals. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the probability that the total combined rushing and receiving yards will fall within that range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades depend on correctly assessing the likelihood of various outcomes. The market’s price effectively represents the aggregated forecast of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final combined rushing and receiving yards for both the Kansas City Chiefs and the Las Vegas Raiders will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions in the market and whether their predictions aligned with the actual result.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries to running backs or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor either a passing or running game, could also impact the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also play a role. Finally, any late-breaking news about team dynamics or player matchups could cause traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions.