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$154.8b

24H VOL:

$245,601,049

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2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,405,322

408,349

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39,583

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4,443

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Kalshi:

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Kansas City vs Las Vegas: Player Longest Reception
kalshi

What is the result of Kansas City vs Las Vegas?

Volume:
$3,153

Noah Gray: over 7.5 yards

 - Kalshi

Noah Gray: over 7.5 yards - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 8:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Noah Gray: over 7.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$386
N/A
N/A
$319
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tre Tucker: over 18.5 yards

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$176
N/A
N/A
$104
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ashton Jeanty: over 10.5 yards

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$107
N/A
N/A
$107
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Michael Mayer: over 12.5 yards

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Xavier Worthy: over 16.5 yards

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cody White: over 8.5 yards

100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
$56
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tyquan Thornton: over 16.5 yards

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
$44
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Travis Kelce: over 19.5 yards

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$882
N/A
N/A
$881
Settled
No
kalshi

Rashee Rice: over 21.5 yards

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$672
N/A
N/A
$672
Settled
No
kalshi

Kenneth Walker III: over 11.5 yards

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$327
N/A
N/A
$326
Settled
No
kalshi

Brock Bowers: over 21.5 yards

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$216
N/A
N/A
$114
Settled
No
kalshi

Jalen Nailor: over 12.5 yards

0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$87
N/A
N/A
$84
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This event tracks whether specific players achieve a longest reception exceeding set yardage thresholds in an upcoming football game. Each player's performance is evaluated independently, focusing on their individual receiving stats rather than the game's overall outcome.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple individual player markets for the Kansas City vs Las Vegas Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player records a longest reception exceeding their designated yardage threshold during the game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves based on the actual longest reception recorded. All markets operate independently, with no cross-market dependencies, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks and branding.

Frequently asked questions

Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see this market move in a way that anticipates changes in sportsbook lines, as new information emerges. However, discrepancies can exist due to differing risk assessments and market participants. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on potential outcomes.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different players having the longest reception. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a player is likely to have the longest reception, the price of their contract increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, creating a forward-looking assessment of the event.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest reception, as officially recorded by game statistics, will determine the winning contract. The official game statistics will be used to determine the longest reception, and all data will be verified against credible public sources. The resolution will be based on the official game results, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for this market.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or even strategic adjustments announced by either team could all shift probabilities. A key player being ruled out would likely impact the odds for their potential longest reception. Furthermore, any updates on player matchups or offensive game plans could also drive movement. Even public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators can influence traders’ decisions, causing fluctuations in the market until resolution.