TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 8:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players achieve a longest reception exceeding set yardage thresholds in an upcoming football game. Each player's performance is evaluated independently, focusing on their individual receiving stats rather than the game's overall outcome.
The event evaluates multiple individual player markets for the Kansas City vs Las Vegas Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player records a longest reception exceeding their designated yardage threshold during the game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves based on the actual longest reception recorded. All markets operate independently, with no cross-market dependencies, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks and branding.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different players having the longest reception. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a player is likely to have the longest reception, the price of their contract increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, creating a forward-looking assessment of the event.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest reception, as officially recorded by game statistics, will determine the winning contract. The official game statistics will be used to determine the longest reception, and all data will be verified against credible public sources. The resolution will be based on the official game results, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or even strategic adjustments announced by either team could all shift probabilities. A key player being ruled out would likely impact the odds for their potential longest reception. Furthermore, any updates on player matchups or offensive game plans could also drive movement. Even public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators can influence traders’ decisions, causing fluctuations in the market until resolution.