TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of passing attempts made by specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game. It focuses on whether particular players exceed defined thresholds for pass attempts during the match. Outcomes are determined purely by in-game performance metrics.
All markets resolve based on whether the named quarterback records a specified minimum number of passing attempts in the Kansas City vs Las Vegas Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. If the quarterback is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap — even if that play is nullified by a penalty — the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of passing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for both Kirk Cousins and Patrick Mahomes, each with their own threshold requirements for resolution.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing attempt ranges. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to represent a more accurate prediction of the final passing attempts total. The platform uses a mechanism where traders can take either the 'buy' or 'sell' side of a contract, influencing the price with each trade.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing attempts total for both quarterbacks combined will be sourced from official game statistics. The contract corresponding to the correct range of total passing attempts will pay out, while all other contracts will expire worthless. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game statistics to understand the resolution of this market and the resulting payouts.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding quarterback injuries to either Patrick Mahomes or the Raiders’ quarterback would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly those predicting adverse conditions, could also impact the expected passing volume. Late-breaking reports about offensive strategies or key receiver availability could also move the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in sentiment and drive price changes in this market.