TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Kansas City vs Las Vegas: Passing Attempts
kalshi

What is the result of Kansas City vs Las Vegas?

Volume:
$14,651

Kirk Cousins: 34+

 - Kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 34+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 7:00 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 34+

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,672
N/A
N/A
$1,313
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 29+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,293
N/A
N/A
$1,287
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 28+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$275
N/A
N/A
$272
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kirk Cousins: 39+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$259
N/A
N/A
$253
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 33+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,640
N/A
N/A
$9,969
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes: 38+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$512
N/A
N/A
$431
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the number of passing attempts made by specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game. It focuses on whether particular players exceed defined thresholds for pass attempts during the match. Outcomes are determined purely by in-game performance metrics.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the named quarterback records a specified minimum number of passing attempts in the Kansas City vs Las Vegas Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. If the quarterback is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap — even if that play is nullified by a penalty — the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of passing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for both Kirk Cousins and Patrick Mahomes, each with their own threshold requirements for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders predicting the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply varying opinions among bettors and market participants. It’s common to see this market diverge from sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into the perceived probabilities of different scenarios.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing attempt ranges. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to represent a more accurate prediction of the final passing attempts total. The platform uses a mechanism where traders can take either the 'buy' or 'sell' side of a contract, influencing the price with each trade.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing attempts total for both quarterbacks combined will be sourced from official game statistics. The contract corresponding to the correct range of total passing attempts will pay out, while all other contracts will expire worthless. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game statistics to understand the resolution of this market and the resulting payouts.

Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding quarterback injuries to either Patrick Mahomes or the Raiders’ quarterback would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly those predicting adverse conditions, could also impact the expected passing volume. Late-breaking reports about offensive strategies or key receiver availability could also move the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in sentiment and drive price changes in this market.