TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 6:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This market evaluates the Pro Football game between Kansas City and Las Vegas on October 4, 2026, determining if both teams manage to score points during the second quarter. Touchdowns, field goals, and safeties all count, emphasizing the offensive output of each team in that specific quarter.
If Kansas City and Las Vegas both score points in the 2nd quarter of the Kansas City vs Las Vegas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market represents the collective belief of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event's likelihood. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to news or late-breaking information, potentially leading to odds movements that diverge from those offered by sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their forecasts are correct. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, creating a real-time assessment of the likelihood of both teams scoring in the second quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, resolution will depend on whether both the Kansas City Chiefs and the Las Vegas Raiders score at least one point during the second quarter of the game. Official game statistics will be used to determine if both teams have scored, and this information will be verified against credible public sources. The final price on Kalshi will reflect the outcome at that time.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Chiefs or the Raiders would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also affect the price. Additionally, in-game performance during the first quarter, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, could shift trader sentiment and lead to price adjustments. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic changes could also play a role in how this market evolves.