TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

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4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Kansas City vs Las Vegas: 1st Touchdown
kalshi

What is the result of Kansas City vs Las Vegas?

Volume:
$680,339

Ian Thomas

 - Kalshi

Ian Thomas - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 5:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ian Thomas

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28,881
N/A
N/A
$27,885
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kenneth Walker III

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$125,077
N/A
N/A
$109,268
Settled
No
kalshi

Brock Bowers

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$106,535
N/A
N/A
$101,793
Settled
No
kalshi

Ashton Jeanty

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$80,476
N/A
N/A
$62,754
Settled
No
kalshi

Travis Kelce

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61,701
N/A
N/A
$59,734
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,021
N/A
N/A
$56,213
Settled
No
kalshi

Rashee Rice

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,899
N/A
N/A
$42,994
Settled
No
kalshi

Tre Tucker

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,787
N/A
N/A
$32,429
Settled
No
kalshi

Xavier Worthy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,129
N/A
N/A
$22,584
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Mayer

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,427
N/A
N/A
$17,307
Settled
No
kalshi

Cody White

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,473
N/A
N/A
$16,211
Settled
No
kalshi

LV Raiders D/ST

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,282
N/A
N/A
$12,394
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyquan Thornton

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,887
N/A
N/A
$12,654
Settled
No
kalshi

Noah Gray

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,344
N/A
N/A
$8,244
Settled
No
kalshi

Jalen Nailor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,150
N/A
N/A
$7,758
Settled
No
kalshi

Kirk Cousins

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,257
N/A
N/A
$6,257
Settled
No
kalshi

Dareke Young

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,127
N/A
N/A
$5,766
Settled
No
kalshi

Mike Washington Jr.

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,736
N/A
N/A
$5,474
Settled
No
kalshi

Emmett Johnson

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,601
N/A
N/A
$4,730
Settled
No
kalshi

Cyrus Allen

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,968
N/A
N/A
$2,968
Settled
No
kalshi

Connor Heyward

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,271
N/A
N/A
$1,838
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs D/ST

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,755
N/A
N/A
$1,668
Settled
No
kalshi

Jalen Royals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,685
N/A
N/A
$1,485
Settled
No
kalshi

Brashard Smith

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,550
N/A
N/A
$1,392
Settled
No
kalshi

Malik Benson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,029
N/A
N/A
$1,029
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting which player or team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a specific player or the defensive unit, with outcomes determined by game events.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the specified player or defensive unit scores the first touchdown of the game. If the designated participant is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a participant takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to whether that participant scores the first touchdown. If no touchdowns are scored in the entire game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all other player and unit markets resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all individual player and defensive unit markets.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the first touchdown market tracks the current prices for each player to score the first touchdown of the game. You can view the implied probabilities, the 24-hour trading volume of $618,641, and the total volume traded to date, which is currently $680,339. The dashboard also displays a price history chart, allowing you to analyze how the market has moved over time. This provides a comprehensive overview of how traders are assessing the likelihood of different players reaching the endzone first.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure a profit, while this market aggregates the diverse opinions of traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – and as the event approaches, the prices in this market may converge with, or diverge from, sportsbook odds. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds in accuracy, especially closer to the event date.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each player scoring the first touchdown. As more people buy a contract, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the cost to hold one unit of exposure to that outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, based on trader sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which player officially scores the first touchdown in the game, as recorded by official game statistics. The official game log will be the source for determining the winning outcome. Any scoring plays subject to review will be resolved based on the final ruling of the game officials. The market will then settle based on which player's contract was held by traders.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key offensive players or potential touchdown scorers, would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the market, as they affect passing and running game strategies. Unexpected starting lineup announcements or shifts in coaching strategy could also move prices. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding team matchups or player performance could impact trader sentiment and drive price changes.