TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Kansas City vs Denver: Winning Margin
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What is the result of Kansas City vs Denver?

Volume:
$63,984

Denver by 1 to 6

 - Kalshi

Denver by 1 to 6 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 7:41 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Denver by 1 to 6

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,045
N/A
N/A
$8,868
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kansas City by 7 to 14

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,350
N/A
N/A
$15,805
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City by 1 to 6

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,042
N/A
N/A
$12,206
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,110
N/A
N/A
$11,511
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City by 15 or more

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,477
N/A
N/A
$2,010
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver by 7 to 14

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,329
N/A
N/A
$2,216
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver by 15 or more

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$632
N/A
N/A
$604
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional football game between two teams, focusing specifically on the margin of victory. It categorizes possible results based on how many points separate the winning and losing teams. The event resolves based on the final score of the game, including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome of the professional football game between Kansas City and Denver based on the point differential between the two teams at the end of the full game, including overtime. If Denver wins by exactly 0 points (a tie), between 1 and 6 points, between 7 and 14 points, or 15 or more points, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Kansas City wins by between 1 and 6 points, between 7 and 14 points, or 15 or more points, the respective market resolves to Yes. Each market is defined by a specific range of point differentials, and the market resolves based on which range the actual point differential falls into. The event is not affiliated with or endorsed by the governing league, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Chiefs-Broncos margin market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different winning margins fluctuates in real-time. Currently, the total volume for this market is $63,915, with $45,692 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a visual representation of market sentiment and allows you to analyze how traders are positioning themselves on the expected point differential between Kansas City and Denver.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what is readily available to sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professionals, this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see prediction market prices move differently than sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments or the influence of factors not fully captured by traditional sports betting models.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different winning margins. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that margin occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to find an equilibrium that represents the collective prediction. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with buyers pushing prices up and sellers pushing them down based on their individual beliefs and risk tolerance.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final winning margin of the Kansas City vs. Denver game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league, and will determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the winning margin will receive a payout based on the contract's price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Chiefs or the Broncos would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts for the game day, or even significant shifts in public perception could also move the market. Unexpected performance in other games leading up to the event could also impact trader sentiment. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the final winning margin is crucial for informed trading in this market.