TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Courtland Sutton or Bo Nix will each score one or more touchdowns in the Kansas City versus Denver professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives Courtland Sutton a 4.0% probability of scoring 1+ touchdowns, while Bo Nix is at 3.0%. The market resolves based on whether the Denver Broncos D/ST scores at least one touchdown in the game originally scheduled for November 1, 2026, as determined by official game statistics. Keep an eye on team injury reports leading up to the November 2, 2026 resolution date, as player availability could significantly impact scoring opportunities.
All markets resolve based on whether designated players or defensive units score at least one touchdown during the specified game. If a participant is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff. Once a participant takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves according to actual touchdowns scored. Touchdowns resulting from fake punts or offensive field goals do not count toward special teams touchdowns. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of participant performance against the stated criteria.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see this market incorporate information and adjust rapidly to news, potentially leading to odds that diverge from initial sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total number of touchdowns scored. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations, influenced by factors like player injuries, weather conditions, and team performance.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final touchdown count in the Kansas City versus Denver game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, as reported by official league sources. The market will determine which contracts payout based on the actual number of touchdowns scored during the game, as recorded in the official game statistics. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts on Kalshi following the game’s completion.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Kansas City or Denver teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting passing or rushing attacks, could also move the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy, as reported by credible sports news sources, could influence trader sentiment. Finally, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can also drive price changes.